COMMUNIQUÉ “GEOCHANGE” on issues of global changes of the environment, for presentation to the UN, European Union, International Organizations and Governments of States.
This communiqué is presented on behalf of heads of international organizations, scientific institutes and centers, scientific–technical companies and scientists of different countries.
“GEOCHANGE” as used in this communiqué refers to natural changes of the environment resulting from endogenous, exogenous and cosmic factors and having negative consequences for the stable development of humanity.
Presently, multiple scientific facts indicative of the increasing environmental changes and their global nature have been collected. These changes indicate an acceleration of the growth rate of the geodynamic activity, which is expressed, in particular, as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. There is a high risk that the scale of impact of geologic factors on global climate change will be underestimated. The periodical intensification of the Earth’s endogenous activity leads to increased degassing of the mantle and emission of the greenhouse gases of geological origin into the atmosphere, causing global warming.
Alarming facts about a drastic (by more than 500%) acceleration of the drift of the Earth’s North Magnetic Pole since 1990 not only have catastrophic consequences for global climatic change but also bear witness to significant changes in energetic processes in the Earth’s inner and outer cores responsible for the formation of the geomagnetic field and endogenous activity of our planet.
The role of the magnetosphere in shaping the Earth’s climate has been scientifically proven. The changes in the parameters of the geomagnetic field and magnetosphere may lead to redistribution of the areas of formation of cyclones and anticyclones, thus affecting global climate change.
Natural cataclysms may, in a short space of time, cause catastrophic consequences for entire regions of our planet: a lot of people will die, the populations of large territories will be deprived of shelter and livelihood, economies of states will be destroyed, and large scale epidemics of serious infectious diseases will occur. Presently, the world community is not ready to face such a development of events which is quite likely. Meanwhile, periods of significant increase of endogenous activity have been observed many times during the geologic life of our planet and, according to many geologic indicators, the next such period is already starting.
Natural cataclysms leading to large numbers of victims and massive destruction in one country or another are usually accompanied by wide international assistance of different international humanitarian organizations and individual states. However, during the period of large scale natural cataclysms, a special international, legal, administrative and financial mechanism will be required for the management and coordination of rescue, restoration and other international actions carried out in natural disaster areas.
Many countries can boast the scientific knowledge accumulated and experience in forecasting of different natural cataclysms. At the same time, in most cases there aren’t definite rules for making decisions and specifying particular acts by state agencies when a need is indicated by forecasts of possible natural cataclysms. Incorrect decisions and uncoordinated actions of governmental and international structures upon receipt of such forecasts can bring panic to the population and disorganization of actions by state agencies and rescue services. It not only decreases effectiveness of preparation for natural cataclysms, but also can cause complication of the social and moral-psychological situation in the regions of the expected cataclysms.
Yet development of standards and precise rules for making decisions by the governments following reception of forecasts will help increase the effectiveness of rescue operations and restoration work and reduce the number of casualties and damage caused by natural disasters.
An Open Letter to His Excellency Ban Ki-moon
The Secretary-General of the United Nations
During the last few years, scientists around the world have been witnessing alarming changes in the environment; these changes are of global significance for the entire planet. Global changes can now be observed throughout all of the Earth, including its core, mantle, lithosphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere, ionosphere, and magnetosphere.
In recent years, these processes have actively manifested themselves in the form of natural cataclysms causing great loss of life, destruction and huge economic damage in many countries.
The International Committee on the problems of Global Changes of the Geological Environment (IC GCGE) “Geochange” has prepared a special report on this issue. Based on earthquake, volcanic eruption, tsunami and other geological and geophysical process-related data analysis, it demonstrates that the Earth’s geodynamical activity has been continuously increasing over the last 100 years; the tendency has even significantly intensified during the recent decades. This is reflected in the number of fatalities and extent of economic damage caused by natural disasters. A similar situation can be observed in the atmospheric processes, a fact that has been repeatedly indicated in the UN IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports. When combined, global environmental changes caused by anthropogenic and natural factors amplify the resulting negative effect on the progress of civilization.
It has to be acknowledged that humankind is not prepared to enter the global natural cataclysms era, either technologically, economically, legally, or psychologically. A joint effort by scientists, international organizations and governments of different countries under the aegis of the UN is needed in order to take effective measures to counter natural disasters and to minimize the casualties and damage they cause to humanity.
Being guided by the highest ideals of humanity and pursuing the desire to minimize the fatalities and damage caused by natural disasters, over 300 scientists from more than 85 countries have signed the GEOCHANGE Communiqué. We hope that the UN will support this initiative of scientists and take appropriate decisions for the sake of further stable development of human civilization and for reducing casualties and damage caused by natural disasters.
Annex: 1. GEOCHANGE Communiqué
2. A report by the Chairman of the International Committee on the problems of Global Changes of the Geological Environment “GEOCHANGE”, June 2010 (Int. Mag. GEOCHANGE: GEOCHANGE: Problems of Global Changes of the Geological Environment, Vol.1, London, June 2010, ISSN-2218-5798)
Yours respectfully, International Committee on the problems
of Global Changes of the Geological Environment
Communiquѐ and Report of IC GCGE
Communiquѐ and Report of IC GCGE
recipients of Communiquѐ and Report
of IC GCGE GEOCHANGE